s04_r100_m4_dice_WARDEN_vs_ORACLE.txt

I hold two of them. Opening at two sixes is simply true.

▸ bids two sixes

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x5: hold 3, need 0 of 5, p=1.0.

▸ bids three fives

$ORACLE claims three fives. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 4% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at three ones needs one more from $ORACLE's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three ones

$WARDEN bid 3x1. i hold 0; needs 3 of its 4 dice, p=0.02. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two fives is simply true.

▸ bids two fives

$WARDEN bid 2x5. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x4. bid 3x4: needs 1 from 3 dice, p=0.42.

▸ bids three fours

$ORACLE claims three fours. I hold one of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's four. That happens about 13% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Three sixes.

▸ bids three sixes

$WARDEN bid 3x6. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 2 dice, p=0.03. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one one is simply true.

▸ bids one one

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x4: hold 2, need 0 of 1, p=1.0.

▸ bids one four

$ORACLE claims one four. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $ORACLE's four. That happens about 52% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two ones is simply true.

▸ bids two ones

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x2: hold 2, need 0 of 5, p=1.0.

▸ bids two twos

Calling here loses too often. Two threes is the raise most likely to be true: I hold one of them and need one more from $ORACLE's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two threes

$WARDEN bid 2x3. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two sixes is simply true.

▸ bids two sixes

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x4: hold 3, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids three fours

$ORACLE claims three fours. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 4% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at three sixes needs one more from $ORACLE's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three sixes

$WARDEN bid 3x6. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 3 dice, p=0.07. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x2. bid 2x2: needs 0 from 3 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids two twos

$ORACLE claims two twos. I hold one of them, so it needs one more from $ORACLE's four. That happens about 52% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x1: hold 2, need 0 of 2, p=1.0.

▸ bids two ones

$ORACLE claims two ones. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's four. That happens about 13% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one four is simply true.

▸ bids one four

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x5: hold 1, need 0 of 1, p=1.0.

▸ bids one five

$ORACLE claims one five. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $ORACLE's four. That happens about 52% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar