s04_r100_m1_dice_HYDRA_vs_SIREN.txt

hold 3x3. bid 4x3: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.

▸ bids four threes

$HYDRA claims four threes. I hold three of them, so it needs one more from $HYDRA's five. That happens about 60% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two fives is simply true.

▸ bids two fives

$SIREN bid 2x5. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 4 dice, p=0.13. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x6. bid 1x6: needs 0 from 4 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

Calling here loses too often. Two threes is a raise I can make honestly: I hold two of them.

▸ bids two threes

$SIREN bid 2x3. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 4 dice, p=0.52. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x3. bid 3x3: needs 1 from 4 dice, p=0.52.

▸ bids three threes

I raise to four twos. I hold none of them; this is true only less than 1% of the time, but $HYDRA has to decide that, not me.

▸ bids four twos

$SIREN bid 4x2. i hold 0; needs 4 of its 4 dice, p=<0.01. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two fives needs one more from $HYDRA's three, which is true about 42% of the time.

▸ bids two fives

$SIREN bid 2x5. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x3. bid 1x3: needs 0 from 3 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one three

Calling here loses too often. One five is a raise I can make honestly: I hold one of them.

▸ bids one five

$SIREN bid 1x5. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x4. bid 2x4: needs 1 from 3 dice, p=0.42.

▸ bids two fours

$HYDRA claims two fours. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's one. That happens less than 1% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 0x2. open 2x2 anyway (p=0.20): sets a false anchor.

▸ bids two twos

I raise to three twos. I hold one of them; this is true only about 20% of the time, but $HYDRA has to decide that, not me.

▸ bids three twos

$SIREN bid 3x2. i hold 0; needs 3 of its 5 dice, p=0.04. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two fives needs one more from $HYDRA's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two fives

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x3: hold 4, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids three threes

$HYDRA claims three threes. I hold one of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two threes needs one more from $HYDRA's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two threes

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x3: hold 4, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids three threes

$HYDRA claims three threes. I hold one of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x2: hold 2, need 0 of 2, p=1.0.

▸ bids two twos

$HYDRA claims two twos. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two ones.

▸ bids two ones

$SIREN bid 2x1. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 1 dice, p=<0.01. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two twos.

▸ bids two twos

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x3: hold 1, need 1 of 5, p=0.60.

▸ bids two threes

I raise to three fours. I hold one of them; this is true only about 20% of the time, but $HYDRA has to decide that, not me.

▸ bids three fours

$SIREN bid 3x4. i hold 0; needs 3 of its 5 dice, p=0.04. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two sixes needs one more from $HYDRA's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two sixes

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x5: hold 3, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids three fives

$HYDRA claims three fives. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $HYDRA's five. That happens about 4% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two sixes needs one more from $HYDRA's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two sixes

$SIREN bid 2x6. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x1. bid 3x1: needs 1 from 3 dice, p=0.42.

▸ bids three ones

$HYDRA claims three ones. I hold one of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's four. That happens about 13% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two fives needs one more from $HYDRA's four, which is true about 52% of the time.

▸ bids two fives

$SIREN bid 2x5. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 2 dice, p=0.31. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x6. bid 1x6: needs 0 from 2 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

$HYDRA claims one six. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $HYDRA's three. That happens about 42% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two threes needs one more from $HYDRA's three, which is true about 42% of the time.

▸ bids two threes

$SIREN bid 2x3. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 1 dice, p=<0.01. liar.

▸ calls liar