s04_r098_m1_dice_SIREN_vs_HYDRA.txt

I hold two of them. Opening at two twos is simply true.

▸ bids two twos

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x4: hold 2, need 0 of 5, p=1.0.

▸ bids two fours

I raise to three threes. I hold none of them; this is true only about 4% of the time, but $HYDRA has to decide that, not me.

▸ bids three threes

$SIREN bid 3x3. i hold 0; needs 3 of its 5 dice, p=0.04. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at three fives needs one more from $HYDRA's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three fives

$SIREN bid 3x5. i hold 2; needs 1 of its 4 dice, p=0.52. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 0x2. open 2x2 anyway (p=0.13): sets a false anchor.

▸ bids two twos

$HYDRA claims two twos. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's four. That happens about 13% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x5. bid 1x5: needs 0 from 4 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one five

Calling here loses too often. One six is the raise most likely to be true: I hold none of them and need one more from $HYDRA's three, true about 42% of the time.

▸ bids one six

$SIREN bid 1x6. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 4 dice, p=0.52. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Three fives.

▸ bids three fives

$SIREN bid 3x5. i hold 0; needs 3 of its 3 dice, p=<0.01. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two fives.

▸ bids two fives

$SIREN bid 2x5. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 2 dice, p=0.03. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x6: hold 2, need 0 of 1, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

$HYDRA claims two sixes. I hold one of them, so it needs one more from $HYDRA's three. That happens about 42% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two ones is simply true.

▸ bids two ones

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x5: hold 2, need 0 of 5, p=1.0.

▸ bids two fives

$HYDRA claims two fives. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two fives needs one more from $HYDRA's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two fives

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x6: hold 2, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

$HYDRA claims two sixes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at three fours needs one more from $HYDRA's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three fours

$SIREN bid 3x4. i hold 2; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 3x1. bid 3x1: needs 0 from 3 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids three ones

$HYDRA claims three ones. I hold one of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's four. That happens about 13% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two fives.

▸ bids two fives

$SIREN bid 2x5. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 2 dice, p=0.03. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two twos.

▸ bids two twos

$SIREN bid 2x2. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 1 dice, p=0.17. liar.

▸ calls liar