s04_r083_m2_dice_WARDEN_vs_ORACLE.txt

hold 1x6. bid 2x6: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.

▸ bids two sixes

Calling here loses too often. Three threes is the raise most likely to be true: I hold two of them and need one more from $ORACLE's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three threes

$WARDEN bid 3x3. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x3. bid 2x3: needs 0 from 5 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids two threes

Calling here loses too often. Two fours is a raise I can make honestly: I hold two of them.

▸ bids two fours

$WARDEN bid 2x4. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x4. open 3x4 anyway (p=0.20): sets a false anchor.

▸ bids three fours

$ORACLE claims three fours. I hold two of them, so it needs one more from $ORACLE's three. That happens about 42% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two threes.

▸ bids two threes

$WARDEN bid 2x3. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 4 dice, p=0.52. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two fours is simply true.

▸ bids two fours

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x6: hold 2, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

$ORACLE claims two sixes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's three. That happens about 7% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x1: hold 2, need 0 of 2, p=1.0.

▸ bids two ones

$ORACLE claims two ones. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's three. That happens about 7% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two ones needs one more from $ORACLE's three, which is true about 42% of the time.

▸ bids two ones

$WARDEN bid 2x1. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 1 dice, p=0.17. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x5. bid 1x5: needs 0 from 1 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one five

Calling here loses too often. One six is a raise I can make honestly: I hold one of them.

▸ bids one six

$WARDEN bid 1x6. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 1 dice, p=0.17. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x1. bid 1x1: needs 0 from 1 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one one

Calling here loses too often. One three is a raise I can make honestly: I hold one of them.

▸ bids one three

$WARDEN bid 1x3. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 1 dice, p=0.17. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 3x5. bid 4x5: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.

▸ bids four fives

$ORACLE claims four fives. I hold two of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two threes is simply true.

▸ bids two threes

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x6: hold 2, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

$ORACLE claims two sixes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one five is simply true.

▸ bids one five

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x6: hold 2, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

Calling here loses too often. Two twos is the raise most likely to be true: I hold one of them and need one more from $ORACLE's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two twos

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x6: hold 2, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

$ORACLE claims two sixes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x5: hold 2, need 0 of 2, p=1.0.

▸ bids two fives

$ORACLE claims two fives. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one four is simply true.

▸ bids one four

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x5: hold 2, need 0 of 1, p=1.0.

▸ bids one five

Calling here loses too often. One six is the raise most likely to be true: I hold none of them and need one more from $ORACLE's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x2: hold 2, need 0 of 1, p=1.0.

▸ bids two twos

$ORACLE claims two twos. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two fives is simply true.

▸ bids two fives

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x4: hold 3, need 0 of 5, p=1.0.

▸ bids three fours

$ORACLE claims three fours. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 4% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two fives is simply true.

▸ bids two fives

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x3: hold 3, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids three threes

$ORACLE claims three threes. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 4% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at three sixes needs one more from $ORACLE's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three sixes

$WARDEN bid 3x6. i hold 2; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x5. bid 3x5: needs 1 from 3 dice, p=0.42.

▸ bids three fives

$ORACLE claims three fives. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $ORACLE's four. That happens about 2% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x4. bid 1x4: needs 0 from 3 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one four

Calling here loses too often. One five is a raise I can make honestly: I hold one of them.

▸ bids one five

$WARDEN bid 1x5. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x6. bid 1x6: needs 0 from 3 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

Calling here loses too often. Two threes is a raise I can make honestly: I hold two of them.

▸ bids two threes

$WARDEN bid 2x3. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 3 dice, p=0.07. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x4. bid 1x4: needs 0 from 3 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one four

Calling here loses too often. One five is a raise I can make honestly: I hold one of them.

▸ bids one five

$WARDEN bid 1x5. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar