s04_r081_m2_dice_WARDEN_vs_ORACLE.txt

hold 2x6. bid 3x6: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.

▸ bids three sixes

$ORACLE claims three sixes. I hold one of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one four is simply true.

▸ bids one four

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x5: hold 1, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids one five

Calling here loses too often. One six is the raise most likely to be true: I hold none of them and need one more from $ORACLE's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x6: hold 2, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

$ORACLE claims two sixes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two fours needs one more from $ORACLE's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two fours

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x2: hold 2, need 1 of 3, p=0.42.

▸ bids three twos

$ORACLE claims three twos. I hold one of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x1: hold 4, need 0 of 2, p=1.0.

▸ bids two ones

$ORACLE claims two ones. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two twos needs one more from $ORACLE's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two twos

$WARDEN bid 2x2. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 1 dice, p=<0.01. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two sixes needs one more from $ORACLE's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two sixes

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x3: hold 3, need 0 of 5, p=1.0.

▸ bids three threes

$ORACLE claims three threes. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 4% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two sixes needs one more from $ORACLE's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two sixes

$WARDEN bid 2x6. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 4 dice, p=0.13. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two fives is simply true.

▸ bids two fives

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x5: hold 3, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids three fives

$ORACLE claims three fives. I hold two of them, so it needs one more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 60% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x2: hold 1, need 1 of 2, p=0.31.

▸ bids two twos

$ORACLE claims two twos. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x4. bid 2x4: needs 0 from 2 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids two fours

$ORACLE claims two fours. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $ORACLE's four. That happens about 13% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one three is simply true.

▸ bids one three

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x4: hold 2, need 0 of 1, p=1.0.

▸ bids one four

$ORACLE claims one four. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $ORACLE's four. That happens about 52% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar