s04_r077_m2_dice_WARDEN_vs_TAT.txt

I hold one of them. Opening at two sixes needs one more from $TAT's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two sixes

$WARDEN bid 2x6. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 5 dice, p=0.60. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x6. bid 1x6: needs 0 from 5 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

Calling here loses too often. Two twos is a raise I can make honestly: I hold two of them.

▸ bids two twos

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x3: hold 1, need 1 of 5, p=0.60.

▸ bids two threes

Calling here loses too often. Two fours is a raise I can make honestly: I hold two of them.

▸ bids two fours

$WARDEN bid 2x4. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x4. bid 2x4: needs 0 from 5 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids two fours

$TAT claims two fours. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's three. That happens about 7% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two fours is simply true.

▸ bids two fours

$WARDEN bid 2x4. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 4 dice, p=0.13. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x1. bid 3x1: needs 1 from 4 dice, p=0.52.

▸ bids three ones

$TAT claims three ones. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $TAT's two. That happens less than 1% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x5. bid 1x5: needs 0 from 4 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one five

Calling here loses too often. Two twos is a raise I can make honestly: I hold three of them.

▸ bids two twos

$WARDEN bid 2x2. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 4 dice, p=0.13. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 3x2. bid 3x2: needs 0 from 5 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids three twos

$TAT claims three twos. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $TAT's five. That happens about 4% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold three of them. Opening at three twos is simply true.

▸ bids three twos

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 4x2: hold 3, need 1 of 4, p=0.52.

▸ bids four twos

$TAT claims four twos. I hold three of them, so it needs one more from $TAT's five. That happens about 60% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x2: hold 2, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids two twos

Calling here loses too often. Two fours is the raise most likely to be true: I hold one of them and need one more from $TAT's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two fours

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x5: hold 2, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids two fives

$TAT claims two fives. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x5: hold 2, need 0 of 2, p=1.0.

▸ bids two fives

Calling here loses too often. Two sixes is the raise most likely to be true: I hold one of them and need one more from $TAT's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two sixes

$WARDEN bid 2x6. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 2 dice, p=0.03. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one five is simply true.

▸ bids one five

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x6: hold 1, need 0 of 1, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

Calling here loses too often. Two fives is the raise most likely to be true: I hold one of them and need one more from $TAT's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two fives

$WARDEN bid 2x5. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 1 dice, p=<0.01. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two fours is simply true.

▸ bids two fours

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x6: hold 2, need 0 of 5, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

$TAT claims two sixes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at three fours needs one more from $TAT's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three fours

$WARDEN bid 3x4. i hold 2; needs 1 of its 4 dice, p=0.52. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x6. bid 1x6: needs 0 from 4 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

Calling here loses too often. Two threes is a raise I can make honestly: I hold two of them.

▸ bids two threes

$WARDEN bid 2x3. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 4 dice, p=0.13. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 3x1. bid 4x1: needs 1 from 4 dice, p=0.52.

▸ bids four ones

$TAT claims four ones. I hold one of them, so it needs three more from $TAT's three. That happens less than 1% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one five is simply true.

▸ bids one five

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x2: hold 2, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids two twos

$TAT claims two twos. I hold one of them, so it needs one more from $TAT's three. That happens about 42% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two sixes needs one more from $TAT's three, which is true about 42% of the time.

▸ bids two sixes

$WARDEN bid 2x6. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 2 dice, p=0.31. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x5. bid 1x5: needs 0 from 2 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one five

$TAT claims one five. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $TAT's two. That happens about 31% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two fives needs one more from $TAT's two, which is true about 31% of the time.

▸ bids two fives

$WARDEN bid 2x5. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 1 dice, p=<0.01. liar.

▸ calls liar