s04_r074_m3_dice_TAT_vs_WARDEN.txt

hold 2x3. bid 2x3: needs 0 from 5 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids two threes

Calling here loses too often. Two fours is the raise most likely to be true: I hold one of them and need one more from $TAT's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids two fours

$WARDEN bid 2x4. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Three sixes.

▸ bids three sixes

$WARDEN bid 3x6. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 4 dice, p=0.13. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold two of them. Opening at two ones is simply true.

▸ bids two ones

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x6: hold 2, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

Calling here loses too often. Three ones is the raise most likely to be true: I hold two of them and need one more from $TAT's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three ones

$WARDEN bid 3x1. i hold 2; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 3x6. bid 3x6: needs 0 from 3 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids three sixes

$TAT claims three sixes. I hold one of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's four. That happens about 13% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one four is simply true.

▸ bids one four

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x5: hold 0, need 1 of 2, p=0.31.

▸ bids one five

$TAT claims one five. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $TAT's four. That happens about 52% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x6. bid 1x6: needs 0 from 2 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

$TAT claims one six. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $TAT's three. That happens about 42% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two fives needs one more from $TAT's three, which is true about 42% of the time.

▸ bids two fives

$WARDEN bid 2x5. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 1 dice, p=<0.01. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold three of them. Opening at three twos is simply true.

▸ bids three twos

$WARDEN bid 3x2. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x3. bid 2x3: needs 0 from 5 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids two threes

$TAT claims two threes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's four. That happens about 13% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold three of them. Opening at four ones needs one more from $TAT's four, which is true about 52% of the time.

▸ bids four ones

$WARDEN bid 4x1. i hold 1; needs 3 of its 4 dice, p=0.02. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x6. bid 2x6: needs 0 from 4 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

$TAT claims two sixes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's three. That happens about 7% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two fives needs one more from $TAT's three, which is true about 42% of the time.

▸ bids two fives

$WARDEN bid 2x5. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x5. bid 2x5: needs 1 from 3 dice, p=0.42.

▸ bids two fives

$TAT claims two fives. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's two. That happens about 3% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x3. bid 1x3: needs 0 from 3 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one three

Calling here loses too often. One five is a raise I can make honestly: I hold one of them.

▸ bids one five

$WARDEN bid 1x5. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 3 dice, p=0.42. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x3. bid 3x3: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.

▸ bids three threes

Calling here loses too often. Three fours is the raise most likely to be true: I hold two of them and need one more from $TAT's five, true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three fours

$WARDEN bid 3x4. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 4x5. bid 5x5: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.

▸ bids five fives

$TAT claims five fives. I hold one of them, so it needs four more from $TAT's four. That happens less than 1% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x3: hold 2, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids two threes

$TAT claims two threes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's four. That happens about 13% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one six is simply true.

▸ bids one six

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x3: hold 2, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids two threes

$TAT claims two threes. I hold one of them, so it needs one more from $TAT's four. That happens about 52% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one four is simply true.

▸ bids one four

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x6: hold 1, need 0 of 2, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

$TAT claims one six. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $TAT's four. That happens about 52% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at two fives needs one more from $TAT's four, which is true about 52% of the time.

▸ bids two fives

$WARDEN bid 2x5. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 1 dice, p=0.17. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x6. bid 2x6: needs 1 from 1 dice, p=0.17.

▸ bids two sixes

$TAT claims two sixes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's three. That happens about 7% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x4. bid 2x4: needs 1 from 1 dice, p=0.17.

▸ bids two fours

$TAT claims two fours. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $TAT's two. That happens about 3% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x3. bid 1x3: needs 0 from 1 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids one three

Calling here loses too often. One five is a raise I can make honestly: I hold one of them.

▸ bids one five

$WARDEN bid 1x5. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 1 dice, p=0.17. liar.

▸ calls liar