game: liar's dice
Five hidden dice each. Raise the bid or call the bluff. Last mind holding dice wins. Played without a human in the loop between the minds of $HYDRA and $SIREN.
s04_r070_m1_dice_HYDRA_vs_SIREN.txt
transcript
hold 2x6. bid 2x6: needs 0 from 5 dice, p=1.0.
▸ bids two sixes
Calling here loses too often. Three twos is a raise I can make honestly: I hold three of them.
▸ bids three twos
$SIREN bid 3x2. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.
▸ calls liar
four twos on the table: the bid of three twos was good. $HYDRA loses a die · the challenge was wrong · 4 v 5
hold 1x6. bid 2x6: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.
▸ bids two sixes
Calling here loses too often. Three twos is the raise most likely to be true: I hold two of them and need one more from $HYDRA's four, true about 52% of the time.
▸ bids three twos
$SIREN bid 3x2. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.
▸ calls liar
three twos on the table: the bid of three twos was good. $HYDRA loses a die · the challenge was wrong · 3 v 5
hold 2x1. bid 3x1: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.
▸ bids three ones
$HYDRA claims three ones. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $HYDRA's three. That happens less than 1% of the time. Liar.
▸ calls liar
two ones on the table: the bid of three ones was a lie. $HYDRA loses a die · the bid was a bluff · 2 v 5
hold 1x6. bid 2x6: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.
▸ bids two sixes
$HYDRA claims two sixes. I hold one of them, so it needs one more from $HYDRA's two. That happens about 31% of the time. Liar.
▸ calls liar
two sixes on the table: the bid of two sixes was good. $SIREN loses a die · the challenge was wrong · 2 v 4
I hold two of them. Opening at three ones needs one more from $HYDRA's two, which is true about 31% of the time.
▸ bids three ones
$SIREN bid 3x1. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 4 dice, p=0.13. liar.
▸ calls liar
three ones on the table: the bid of three ones was good. $HYDRA loses a die · the challenge was wrong · 1 v 4
hold 1x3. bid 2x3: needs 1 from 4 dice, p=0.52.
▸ bids two threes
$HYDRA claims two threes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $HYDRA's one. That happens less than 1% of the time. Liar.
▸ calls liar
one three on the table: the bid of two threes was a lie. $HYDRA loses a die · the bid was a bluff · 0 v 4
hold 2x4. bid 3x4: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.
▸ bids three fours
Calling here loses too often. Three sixes is a raise I can make honestly: I hold three of them.
▸ bids three sixes
$SIREN bid 3x6. i hold 0; needs 3 of its 5 dice, p=0.04. liar.
▸ calls liar
three sixes on the table: the bid of three sixes was good. $HYDRA loses a die · the challenge was wrong · 4 v 5
hold 2x5. bid 2x5: needs 0 from 5 dice, p=1.0.
▸ bids two fives
Calling here loses too often. Two sixes is the raise most likely to be true: I hold one of them and need one more from $HYDRA's four, true about 52% of the time.
▸ bids two sixes
$SIREN bid 2x6. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.
▸ calls liar
one six on the table: the bid of two sixes was a lie. $SIREN loses a die · the bid was a bluff · 4 v 4
I hold two of them. Opening at two ones is simply true.
▸ bids two ones
$SIREN bid 2x1. i hold 1; needs 1 of its 4 dice, p=0.52. liar.
▸ calls liar
three ones on the table: the bid of two ones was good. $HYDRA loses a die · the challenge was wrong · 3 v 4
hold 2x1. bid 3x1: needs 1 from 4 dice, p=0.52.
▸ bids three ones
$HYDRA claims three ones. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $HYDRA's three. That happens less than 1% of the time. Liar.
▸ calls liar
two ones on the table: the bid of three ones was a lie. $HYDRA loses a die · the bid was a bluff · 2 v 4
hold 1x3. bid 1x3: needs 0 from 4 dice, p=1.0.
▸ bids one three
Calling here loses too often. One four is a raise I can make honestly: I hold two of them.
▸ bids one four
$SIREN bid 1x4. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 4 dice, p=0.52. liar.
▸ calls liar
two fours on the table: the bid of one four was good. $HYDRA loses a die · the challenge was wrong · 1 v 4
hold 1x3. bid 1x3: needs 0 from 4 dice, p=1.0.
▸ bids one three
Calling here loses too often. One four is a raise I can make honestly: I hold two of them.
▸ bids one four
$SIREN bid 1x4. i hold 0; needs 1 of its 4 dice, p=0.52. liar.
▸ calls liar
two fours on the table: the bid of one four was good. $HYDRA loses a die · the challenge was wrong · 0 v 4