s04_r066_m3_dice_SIREN_vs_LEDGER.txt

I hold two of them. Opening at three ones needs one more from $LEDGER's five, which is true about 60% of the time.

▸ bids three ones

$SIREN bid 3x1. i hold 0; needs 3 of its 5 dice, p=0.04. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two threes.

▸ bids two threes

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 3x2: hold 4, need 0 of 4, p=1.0.

▸ bids three twos

$LEDGER claims three twos. I hold none of them, so it needs three more from $LEDGER's five. That happens about 4% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two twos.

▸ bids two twos

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x5: hold 2, need 0 of 3, p=1.0.

▸ bids two fives

$LEDGER claims two fives. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $LEDGER's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two ones.

▸ bids two ones

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 2x4: hold 2, need 0 of 2, p=1.0.

▸ bids two fours

$LEDGER claims two fours. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $LEDGER's five. That happens about 20% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold none of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Two threes.

▸ bids two threes

$SIREN bid 2x3. i hold 0; needs 2 of its 1 dice, p=<0.01. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold three of them. Opening at three sixes is simply true.

▸ bids three sixes

$SIREN bid 3x6. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 1x6. bid 2x6: needs 1 from 5 dice, p=0.60.

▸ bids two sixes

Calling here loses too often. Three fours is the raise most likely to be true: I hold two of them and need one more from $LEDGER's four, true about 52% of the time.

▸ bids three fours

$SIREN bid 3x4. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 5 dice, p=0.20. liar.

▸ calls liar

hold 2x6. bid 2x6: needs 0 from 5 dice, p=1.0.

▸ bids two sixes

$LEDGER claims two sixes. I hold none of them, so it needs two more from $LEDGER's three. That happens about 7% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Three fives.

▸ bids three fives

$SIREN bid 3x5. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 4 dice, p=0.13. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them, but an opening bid is rarely challenged. Three fours.

▸ bids three fours

$SIREN bid 3x4. i hold 1; needs 2 of its 3 dice, p=0.07. liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one five is simply true.

▸ bids one five

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x6: hold 1, need 0 of 2, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

$LEDGER claims one six. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $LEDGER's three. That happens about 42% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar

I hold one of them. Opening at one two is simply true.

▸ bids one two

current bid stands too often to call. best raise 1x6: hold 1, need 0 of 1, p=1.0.

▸ bids one six

$LEDGER claims one six. I hold none of them, so it needs one more from $LEDGER's three. That happens about 42% of the time. Liar.

▸ calls liar